Figures

Input

Diagnostics

Results

Retro

Reference points

Miscellaneous

Tables

Parameter estimates

Parameter estimates, standard errors, and confidence intervals. Rounded to 3 decimal places.
Estimate Std. Error 95% CI lower 95% CI upper
stock 1 mean log(R) intercept \(5.846\) \(6.027\) \(-5.968\) \(17.660\)
stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) \(0.790\) \(0.123\) \(0.582\) \(1.073\)
stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (ages 2-8+) \(0.255\) \(0.044\) \(0.181\) \(0.359\)
stock 1 NAA AR1 \(\rho\) age \(0.832\) \(0.064\) \(0.655\) \(0.922\)
Shrimp fully selected q \(1.274\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.014\times 10^{-6}\) \(9.341\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.736\times 10^{-5}\)
Acoust fully selected q \(3.511\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.127\times 10^{-6}\) \(2.494\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.943\times 10^{-5}\)
SprAlb85 fully selected q \(7.688\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.190\times 10^{-6}\) \(5.677\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.041\times 10^{-5}\)
FallAlb85 fully selected q \(1.210\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.239\times 10^{-6}\) \(8.419\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.739\times 10^{-5}\)
SprBig fully selected q \(4.479\times 10^{-5}\) \(7.772\times 10^{-6}\) \(3.188\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.293\times 10^{-5}\)
FallBig fully selected q \(7.477\times 10^{-5}\) \(1.999\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.428\times 10^{-5}\) \(1.263\times 10^{-4}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 1 \(3.547\times 10^{-4}\) \(9.005\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.156\times 10^{-4}\) \(5.834\times 10^{-4}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 2 \(0.089\) \(0.016\) \(0.062\) \(0.127\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 3 \(0.342\) \(0.056\) \(0.242\) \(0.457\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 4 \(0.446\) \(0.065\) \(0.325\) \(0.574\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 5 \(0.539\) \(0.067\) \(0.409\) \(0.665\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 6 \(0.717\) \(0.066\) \(0.572\) \(0.828\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 1 \(0.038\) \(0.007\) \(0.026\) \(0.053\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 2 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 3 \(0.237\) \(0.038\) \(0.170\) \(0.320\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 4 \(0.103\) \(0.024\) \(0.064\) \(0.160\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 5 \(0.069\) \(0.019\) \(0.039\) \(0.117\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 6 \(0.062\) \(0.019\) \(0.033\) \(0.112\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 7 \(0.059\) \(0.020\) \(0.030\) \(0.112\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 8+ \(0.041\) \(0.013\) \(0.021\) \(0.076\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 3 \(0.060\) \(0.027\) \(0.025\) \(0.139\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 2 \(0.338\) \(0.050\) \(0.247\) \(0.443\)
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 6: FallAlb85 \(a_{50}\) \(2.753\) \(0.140\) \(2.486\) \(3.034\)
Block 6: FallAlb85 1/slope (increasing) \(0.354\) \(0.041\) \(0.281\) \(0.444\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 2 \(0.147\) \(0.036\) \(0.089\) \(0.231\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 3 \(0.603\) \(0.102\) \(0.397\) \(0.778\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 8: FallBig \(a_{50}\) \(3.823\) \(0.300\) \(3.244\) \(4.411\)
Block 8: FallBig 1/slope (increasing) \(0.484\) \(0.064\) \(0.372\) \(0.627\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(12.068\) \(1.349\) \(9.693\) \(15.025\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.825\) \(0.041\) \(0.731\) \(0.891\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(25.967\) \(2.456\) \(21.573\) \(31.257\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.820\) \(0.036\) \(0.739\) \(0.880\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(23.027\) \(5.963\) \(13.861\) \(38.254\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.810\) \(0.107\) \(0.523\) \(0.943\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(23.140\) \(3.147\) \(17.726\) \(30.208\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.883\) \(0.035\) \(0.796\) \(0.936\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(23.207\) \(3.340\) \(17.504\) \(30.769\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.936\) \(0.020\) \(0.883\) \(0.966\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(15.516\) \(2.747\) \(10.967\) \(21.951\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.754\) \(0.094\) \(0.533\) \(0.892\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(21.925\) \(3.693\) \(15.760\) \(30.501\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.848\) \(0.055\) \(0.706\) \(0.928\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW Ecov\(_1\) \(4.495\) \(0.073\) \(4.352\) \(4.638\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW \(\sigma\) \(0.036\) \(0.014\) \(0.018\) \(0.076\)
stock 1 Recruitment Ecov: LarvalTempDuration \(\beta_1\) \(2.066\) \(1.389\) \(-0.657\) \(4.789\)
Ecov: LarvalTempDuration obs. sd. \(0.156\) \(0.019\) \(0.123\) \(0.197\)

Abundance at age

Abundance at age (1000s) for stock 1 in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 1742654 1152162 559290 646860 106343 50717 11524 5275
1988 3332501 1937122 687343 509061 581515 93720 31339 7437
1989 2840373 2304633 654915 340732 256566 328424 56247 20268
1990 2991027 2187063 871213 406135 198231 145993 195692 41964
1991 3313872 3243373 1358893 746304 279270 115679 80450 130936
1992 2510595 3346035 2561838 1009494 466830 159706 62111 102235
1993 2313752 1759125 1451888 1047708 481576 178377 58071 53239
1994 2191148 1980684 826376 917503 709087 345201 109380 56199
1995 11296642 2323844 1512892 953202 1238889 851616 346521 132498
1996 6502199 9633849 1591589 1022676 644879 739725 394640 179710
1997 3778231 3135082 4394616 716741 409417 274930 221316 138370
1998 1450537 2399006 1276742 1958799 406526 203009 130098 127042
1999 4662641 1263557 1501253 867548 1138465 259884 104035 95161
2000 2209603 4584210 757961 797979 556706 527143 113811 65296
2001 1765563 1551393 3150597 544817 550350 422791 315205 86540
2002 8022725 1603345 993934 2355616 528087 388827 225289 150520
2003 4957231 3196689 689162 486839 1125764 329153 197667 151532
2004 4288312 4858391 2962834 736593 466652 698105 208244 148052
2005 925589 1171406 1106250 867870 290544 186447 202855 89730
2006 4513544 1034359 1176436 1123015 694307 203497 100750 106775
2007 1224887 3366275 675622 622596 619350 381686 99132 76191
2008 2474947 590540 1274043 292966 222098 238246 151434 66086
2009 16400462 3691449 867423 961239 173058 119560 99613 66521
2010 2488931 15981450 2635003 447646 412995 68026 39599 37770
2011 2323156 1102743 4467752 731049 128810 94178 16540 16069
2012 7399741 1343511 601089 2012969 304462 55878 31370 9286
2013 2754845 6699656 1015329 423573 1025599 134452 21977 10322
2014 3069171 1183631 2923299 429743 228093 496919 60430 11453
2015 910445 1303670 433232 1216399 219939 150631 281050 34056
2016 362986 534616 729045 282551 620153 123736 83098 145974
2017 1697382 245452 347548 386929 171743 305431 57920 91379
2018 557723 834998 89517 91625 97291 52720 87324 43130
2019 5500383 674710 676581 52609 51003 47968 21898 31355
2020 2044288 1712680 214746 162771 11238 12649 12132 12444
2021 1173828 969308 662763 83021 46677 3813 3549 5548
2022 1379868 726295 519625 322017 50179 27412 2114 4475
2023 1806133 1044053 528979 266532 158158 26634 13457 3035

Fishing mortality at age by region

Total fishing mortality at age in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.025 0.733 0.479 0.491 0.557 0.723 0.989 0.977
1988 0.028 0.779 0.373 0.337 0.367 0.467 0.630 0.617
1989 0.030 0.849 0.418 0.382 0.418 0.533 0.721 0.707
1990 0.023 0.661 0.320 0.291 0.317 0.404 0.547 0.535
1991 0.009 0.303 0.285 0.322 0.376 0.493 0.680 0.676
1992 0.010 0.298 0.242 0.264 0.306 0.399 0.550 0.545
1993 0.016 0.470 0.283 0.282 0.318 0.411 0.561 0.553
1994 0.013 0.370 0.227 0.227 0.256 0.331 0.453 0.447
1995 0.005 0.158 0.157 0.180 0.210 0.276 0.381 0.379
1996 0.002 0.078 0.148 0.184 0.221 0.292 0.406 0.406
1997 0.004 0.149 0.204 0.246 0.291 0.385 0.533 0.531
1998 0.009 0.292 0.264 0.295 0.344 0.451 0.622 0.617
1999 0.009 0.290 0.289 0.329 0.385 0.506 0.699 0.694
2000 0.003 0.124 0.230 0.286 0.342 0.453 0.630 0.628
2001 0.007 0.224 0.226 0.259 0.303 0.398 0.550 0.547
2002 0.004 0.145 0.158 0.183 0.215 0.283 0.391 0.389
2003 0.003 0.114 0.203 0.251 0.301 0.398 0.553 0.552
2004 0.004 0.136 0.148 0.172 0.202 0.266 0.367 0.366
2005 0.009 0.298 0.319 0.369 0.433 0.569 0.787 0.783
2006 0.007 0.234 0.265 0.310 0.365 0.480 0.664 0.661
2007 0.009 0.273 0.253 0.284 0.332 0.435 0.600 0.596
2008 0.007 0.241 0.328 0.394 0.468 0.618 0.856 0.853
2009 0.001 0.105 0.319 0.411 0.496 0.659 0.917 0.917
2010 0.001 0.063 0.154 0.196 0.236 0.314 0.436 0.436
2011 0.002 0.107 0.245 0.310 0.373 0.495 0.688 0.687
2012 0.001 0.086 0.306 0.398 0.481 0.640 0.891 0.891
2013 0.001 0.093 0.286 0.370 0.446 0.593 0.826 0.826
2014 0.001 0.077 0.215 0.275 0.332 0.441 0.614 0.613
2015 0.001 0.074 0.234 0.303 0.366 0.486 0.677 0.677
2016 0.005 0.188 0.255 0.306 0.363 0.479 0.664 0.662
2017 0.004 0.160 0.217 0.261 0.309 0.408 0.566 0.564
2018 0.016 0.557 0.694 0.823 0.973 1.283 1.778 1.771
2019 0.010 0.310 0.213 0.222 0.253 0.329 0.451 0.446
2020 0.003 0.116 0.160 0.192 0.228 0.301 0.417 0.416
2021 0.006 0.165 0.113 0.118 0.135 0.175 0.240 0.238
2022 0.003 0.093 0.058 0.058 0.066 0.085 0.117 0.115
2023 0.001 0.039 0.083 0.104 0.125 0.165 0.230 0.230

Fishing mortality at age by fleet

Total fishing mortality at age in Mobile.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.000 0.085 0.325 0.424 0.513 0.682 0.951 0.951
1988 0.000 0.053 0.201 0.262 0.317 0.422 0.588 0.588
1989 0.000 0.060 0.231 0.301 0.364 0.484 0.675 0.675
1990 0.000 0.046 0.174 0.228 0.275 0.366 0.510 0.510
1991 0.000 0.060 0.228 0.297 0.359 0.478 0.666 0.666
1992 0.000 0.048 0.183 0.239 0.288 0.384 0.535 0.535
1993 0.000 0.048 0.183 0.239 0.289 0.384 0.536 0.536
1994 0.000 0.039 0.148 0.193 0.234 0.311 0.433 0.433
1995 0.000 0.033 0.128 0.167 0.202 0.268 0.374 0.374
1996 0.000 0.036 0.138 0.180 0.218 0.290 0.404 0.404
1997 0.000 0.047 0.180 0.235 0.284 0.378 0.527 0.527
1998 0.000 0.054 0.208 0.271 0.328 0.436 0.608 0.608
1999 0.000 0.061 0.234 0.305 0.369 0.492 0.685 0.685
2000 0.000 0.056 0.214 0.279 0.337 0.449 0.626 0.626
2001 0.000 0.048 0.184 0.241 0.291 0.387 0.539 0.539
2002 0.000 0.034 0.131 0.171 0.207 0.276 0.384 0.384
2003 0.000 0.049 0.188 0.245 0.296 0.394 0.549 0.549
2004 0.000 0.032 0.123 0.161 0.195 0.259 0.361 0.361
2005 0.000 0.069 0.265 0.345 0.417 0.555 0.774 0.774
2006 0.000 0.058 0.224 0.292 0.353 0.469 0.654 0.654
2007 0.000 0.052 0.201 0.262 0.317 0.421 0.587 0.587
2008 0.000 0.076 0.289 0.377 0.456 0.607 0.847 0.847
2009 0.000 0.082 0.313 0.408 0.494 0.657 0.916 0.916
2010 0.000 0.039 0.149 0.194 0.235 0.312 0.435 0.435
2011 0.000 0.061 0.234 0.306 0.369 0.492 0.685 0.685
2012 0.000 0.080 0.305 0.397 0.480 0.639 0.891 0.891
2013 0.000 0.074 0.282 0.368 0.445 0.592 0.825 0.825
2014 0.000 0.055 0.209 0.273 0.330 0.439 0.613 0.613
2015 0.000 0.060 0.231 0.302 0.365 0.485 0.676 0.676
2016 0.000 0.059 0.224 0.293 0.354 0.471 0.657 0.657
2017 0.000 0.050 0.191 0.250 0.302 0.402 0.560 0.560
2018 0.001 0.157 0.600 0.782 0.946 1.259 1.754 1.754
2019 0.000 0.039 0.149 0.194 0.234 0.312 0.435 0.435
2020 0.000 0.037 0.141 0.184 0.223 0.296 0.413 0.413
2021 0.000 0.021 0.079 0.103 0.125 0.166 0.232 0.232
2022 0.000 0.010 0.038 0.050 0.060 0.080 0.112 0.112
2023 0.000 0.020 0.078 0.102 0.123 0.164 0.229 0.229
Total fishing mortality at age in Fixed.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.024 0.648 0.154 0.066 0.044 0.040 0.038 0.026
1988 0.027 0.726 0.172 0.075 0.050 0.045 0.043 0.029
1989 0.030 0.788 0.187 0.081 0.054 0.049 0.046 0.032
1990 0.023 0.615 0.146 0.063 0.042 0.038 0.036 0.025
1991 0.009 0.244 0.058 0.025 0.017 0.015 0.014 0.010
1992 0.009 0.250 0.059 0.026 0.017 0.015 0.015 0.010
1993 0.016 0.422 0.100 0.043 0.029 0.026 0.025 0.017
1994 0.012 0.331 0.079 0.034 0.023 0.021 0.020 0.013
1995 0.005 0.125 0.030 0.013 0.009 0.008 0.007 0.005
1996 0.002 0.042 0.010 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002
1997 0.004 0.102 0.024 0.010 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.004
1998 0.009 0.238 0.056 0.024 0.016 0.015 0.014 0.010
1999 0.009 0.229 0.054 0.024 0.016 0.014 0.014 0.009
2000 0.003 0.068 0.016 0.007 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.003
2001 0.007 0.176 0.042 0.018 0.012 0.011 0.010 0.007
2002 0.004 0.111 0.026 0.011 0.008 0.007 0.007 0.004
2003 0.002 0.065 0.015 0.007 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003
2004 0.004 0.104 0.025 0.011 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.004
2005 0.009 0.228 0.054 0.023 0.016 0.014 0.013 0.009
2006 0.007 0.176 0.042 0.018 0.012 0.011 0.010 0.007
2007 0.008 0.220 0.052 0.023 0.015 0.014 0.013 0.009
2008 0.006 0.165 0.039 0.017 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
2009 0.001 0.023 0.006 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001
2010 0.001 0.024 0.006 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001
2011 0.002 0.046 0.011 0.005 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
2012 0.000 0.007 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2013 0.001 0.019 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2014 0.001 0.022 0.005 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2015 0.001 0.013 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2016 0.005 0.129 0.031 0.013 0.009 0.008 0.008 0.005
2017 0.004 0.110 0.026 0.011 0.008 0.007 0.006 0.004
2018 0.015 0.400 0.095 0.041 0.027 0.025 0.024 0.016
2019 0.010 0.271 0.064 0.028 0.019 0.017 0.016 0.011
2020 0.003 0.079 0.019 0.008 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.003
2021 0.005 0.144 0.034 0.015 0.010 0.009 0.008 0.006
2022 0.003 0.083 0.020 0.008 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.003
2023 0.001 0.019 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001